from The Morning WIre

Steep COVID increase in the fall


The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the UW is projecting a steep increase in COVID cases in the state come late fall. It projects a case count that is double the worst days of the pandemic. Hospital utilization is projected to be higher than at any point in the last year. However, daily deaths will be only about half of the worst part of the pandemic come November.

This likely reflects a migration of infection to younger cohorts and an improvement of our ability to treat the disease. Among the 0.08% of vaccinated Washingtonians who have reported a COVID infection, 48 have died in the last 6 months. The median age was 84.